German inflation slows to 2.8% in October, below forecasts

Germany's annual consumer price inflation eased to 2.8% in October from 3.3% in September, missing market expectations and weighing slightly on the euro.

Germany's annual consumer price inflation eased to 2.8% in October from 3.3% in September, missing market expectations and weighing slightly on the euro.

Rabobank strategist Bas van Geffen says the ECB held rates steady but President Christine Lagarde hinted at a further hike in December, to be followed by a pause as the bank's leadership changes.

France's economy shrank 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter, well below the 0.1% expansion expected and down from flat growth in Q2, adding to concerns about the eurozone's second-largest economy.

The euro area expanded 0.4% in the third quarter, down from 0.6% in Q2 but above the 0.2% economists had expected, Eurostat reported, while France's economy unexpectedly contracted 0.1%.

Christine Lagarde has told the ECB Governing Council and European Council President António Costa she intends to leave the central bank's presidency on 7 February 2027, triggering a hunt for her replacement.

The European Central Bank is widely expected to keep its deposit rate at 2.50% on Thursday after two hikes earlier in 2026, even as eurozone inflation runs at 3.8%. The decision matters for EUR/USD, which has fallen toward 17-month lows.

EUR/USD has climbed back toward 1.1150 after revisiting its October 14 trough near 1.1100 on Wednesday, breaking a five-day losing run ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank announcement.

The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave its policy rate unchanged on Wednesday, with markets pricing in roughly a 9% chance of a hike. Attention shifts to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference for signals on a possible December move.

Germany's GfK consumer climate index came in at -30.8 for November, slightly better than the -30.9 expected but below October's -30.6, pointing to continued weak household confidence.

The US Dollar Index edged up toward 102.40 on Wednesday, close to a two-week high, as traders awaited the Federal Reserve's rate decision later in the day.