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Education and market commentary

From economic release to trade thesis.

Learn how markets work, follow each scheduled release, then read what actually moved — in plain language, with no trade signals.

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to a reaction note
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Event desk — live17:33 GMT
HIGH IMPACTCanada · Wed 14:30 GMT
BOC Press Conference
Released
Wed 14:30 GMT
FORECAST
—
PREVIOUS
—
ACTUAL
—
On the calendar
Consensus not published, previous —.
Numbers as they land
Released at 14:30 GMT. The actual figure is posted against the forecast shortly.
Reaction note within 30 minutes
Plain language: what moved in FX, indices and rates, and what it did not.
Education and analysis only. No trade signals.Open the event desk →
01
Learn the mechanism
How a central bank sets policy, and how rate expectations reach a currency pair.
02
Watch the scheduled event
A primer the day before, then the numbers as they print.
03
Read what actually moved
A reaction note across FX, equities and rates — not one asset in isolation.
Live wire

Just released and just published

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17:21MARKET WRAPEurope session: euro gains 0.30% as oil rises on Saudi refinery strike16:00DATARetail Sales (YoY) (Sep) (Russia): 3.9%, above the 3.5% forecast. Previous 3.3%.16:00DATAUnemployment Rate (Sep) (Russia): 2.2%, in line with the 2.2% forecast. Previous 2.2%.15:19REACTIONUS crude stockpiles fall 1.9M barrels, more than expected15:09REACTIONBank of Canada hikes to 2.50%, its first rise since 2023; CAD steady14:30DATA · HIGHCrude Oil Inventories (United States): −1.9M, below the -0.300M forecast. Previous -3.060M.
News

Latest news moving markets

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Analytical articles

Market analysis

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FOREX · US Treasuries
US Treasuries: 10-year yield pulls back from 5.34% high as AI jitters and France fuel haven bid
A sharp AI-linked stock selloff drove the biggest Treasury rally in over a year, pulling the 10-year yield back below 5% even as the deficit debate intensifies.
By admin · 27 Oct 2026
INDICES · S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 wobble as AI spending doubts collide with Fed and megacap earnings
A heavy week of AI-linked earnings and a Federal Reserve decision follow a sharp tech selloff that hit the Nasdaq 100 hardest.
By admin · 27 Oct 2026
COMMODITIES · Crude oil
Brent near $112 as Saudi attacks and Hormuz risk keep oil near five-month highs
Brent and WTI head into the week up sharply as Houthi strikes on Saudi infrastructure and Gulf shipping risk keep a geopolitical premium in crude, a trend that matters directly for Azerbaijan's oil-linked budget.
By admin · 27 Oct 2026
Technical analysis

Chart analysis of the most traded markets

All technical analysis →
FOREXTrend: Down
EUR/USD
EUR/USD closed the week near 1.1204, still under its falling moving averages with support at 1.1161.
SUPPORT
1.1161
RESISTANCE
1.1269
27 October 2026 · Daily chart
FOREXTrend: Down
EUR/USD
EUR/USD closed at 1.1213, up slightly on the week but still inside a broader downtrend below its moving averages.
SUPPORT
1.1114
RESISTANCE
1.1472
27 October 2026 · Daily chart
Trend:
ZZ test
new excerpt
SUPPORT
2.00
RESISTANCE
27 October 2026 · Daily chart
FOREXTrend: Range
GBP/USD
GBP/USD closed at 1.3379, caught between its 50- and 200-day averages in a range-bound market.
SUPPORT
1.3342
RESISTANCE
1.3558
27 October 2026 · Daily chart
FOREXTrend: Down
GBP/USD
GBP/USD has bounced off recent lows yet remains below its 50- and 200-day averages in a down trend.
SUPPORT
1.3307
RESISTANCE
1.3461
20 October 2026 · Daily chart
FOREXTrend: Down
USD/JPY
USD/JPY fell 0.8% this week, trading below its 50- and 200-day averages with 156.35 support in focus.
SUPPORT
156.35
RESISTANCE
158.94
27 October 2026 · Daily chart
Daily charts. Levels are reference points for analysis, not entry, stop or target instructions.
Calendar

This week's economic releases

Full calendar →
WHEN
EVENT
PRIOR
FORECAST
ACTUAL
Tue 12:30
Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep)United States
0.0%
2.0%
1.8%
Tue 14:00
New Home Sales (Sep)United States
684K
651K
676K
Wed 00:30
CPI m/mAustralia
0.4%
0.7%
0.8%
Wed 00:30
CPI y/yAustralia
4.0%
4.2%
4.3%
Wed 00:30
Trimmed Mean CPI m/mAustralia
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%

Reaction history

How markets actually moved after past releases.Event desk →
RELEASE
SURPRISE
EURUSD 30M
US 2Y (DAY)
S&P 500 30M
−1.600m below forecast
+0.07%
—
−0.06%
2.50%, as expected
−0.09%
—
+0.06%
UK Budget28 Oct 2026
£15B headroom, as expected
+0.01%
—
−0.04%
−0.25pp below forecast
0.00%
—
−0.05%
+0.1pp above forecast
−0.03%
—
+0.07%
+10.5 above forecast
+0.03%
+2bp
+0.06%
Past reactions are a record, not a forecast. EUR/USD and S&P 500 (E-mini futures): change from the release minute to 30 minutes after. US 2-year yield: change on the day (US Treasury).

What we will not publish

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