Risk warning CFDs are complex instruments. 74–89% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs.
Academy · Stage 1

Risk management

Position sizing, stop placement, risk-reward, correlation and drawdown: the rules that keep a trading account alive.

Strategy decides whether you make money over hundreds of trades. Risk management decides whether you survive long enough to find out.

Rule one: risk a fixed fraction

Decide the maximum you will lose on any single trade as a percentage of your account. One percent is standard for beginners; two percent is the ceiling most professionals use. This is not conservative. At 1 percent, ten losses in a row costs 10 percent. At 5 percent, the same streak costs 40 percent and requires a 67 percent gain to recover.

Rule two: size from the stop, not from the account

1
Account: 10,000. Risk per trade: 1 percent, so 100.
2
Trade: long EUR/USD at 1.0850, stop at 1.0800. Stop distance: 50 pips.
3
Risk per pip allowed: 100 / 50 = 2 per pip.
4
On a standard lot one pip is worth 10, so the position is 0.2 lots.

Wider stop, smaller position. The stop goes where the trade idea is wrong; the size adapts.

Rule three: risk-reward

Before entering, compare the distance to your stop with the distance to your target. A trade risking 50 pips to make 100 has a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio. With a 2:1 ratio you can be wrong 60 percent of the time and still profit. With 1:1 you need to be right more than half the time after costs. Refuse trades below 1.5:1.

Rule four: cap total exposure

Three open trades all long the US dollar are one trade in three places. Correlated positions multiply risk. Limit total open risk to around 3 to 5 percent of the account and check whether your positions share a driver.

Rule five: define a drawdown limit

Decide in advance what loss makes you stop and review: for example, 6 percent in a month. When it is hit, you stop trading for the month and study the journal. This turns a bad month into a lesson instead of a disaster.

Stop placement

Behind structure: beyond the swing high or low that would invalidate the setup.
Volatility-based: 1.5 to 2 times the average true range from entry.
Never at a round number or an obvious level where everyone’s stops cluster; put it a little beyond.
Never widened once placed. Moving a stop further away is not risk management; it is hoping.

Trailing and partial exits

Once a trade moves in your favour by one unit of risk, many traders move the stop to breakeven or take partial profit. This lowers average winners but also lowers the chance a winner becomes a loser. Test both approaches; the right answer depends on the strategy.

Leverage is not risk

Leverage is a tool; risk is the amount you can lose. A 30:1 account with 0.2-lot positions and 1 percent risk per trade is safer than a 5:1 account trading full margin. Use leverage to hold the correct position size with a comfortable margin buffer, never to hold a larger position than the risk rule allows.

Common mistakes

Adding to a losing position to lower the average entry.
Removing the stop before a news release “to avoid being stopped out”.
Increasing size after a winning streak.
Risking more on a “high-conviction” trade. Conviction is not evidence.
Trading a second account, or a second strategy, to recover a loss in the first.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Praevis publishes education and market commentary. Nothing here is investment advice. Trading forex, stocks and CFDs carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors.