Commodities and indices
Gold, oil, and the major stock indices: what drives them, how they are traded, and what to watch.
Gold
Gold trades as a currency, a hedge and a commodity at once. It tends to rise when real interest rates (yields minus inflation) fall, when the dollar weakens, and during political or financial stress. It is priced in dollars per troy ounce; the ticker is XAU/USD on most platforms.
Drivers: US real yields, the dollar, central bank buying, geopolitics. Watch the 10-year Treasury inflation-protected yield and Fed expectations more than anything else.
Ways to trade: spot CFDs, futures (COMEX), ETFs. Gold’s daily range is usually 1 to 2 percent, larger around Fed events.
Crude oil
Two benchmarks: WTI (US) and Brent (international). Oil moves on supply — OPEC+ decisions, US production, disruptions — and on demand — global growth, China, seasonality. Weekly US inventory data (Wednesday, 14:30 UTC) is the regular scheduled release. Oil is volatile, gaps on weekend news, and its futures have expiry and rollover effects that CFD traders should understand.
Oil and the Canadian dollar and Norwegian krone move together; oil and airline or transport shares move inversely.
Other commodities
Silver (more volatile than gold, part industrial), natural gas (weather-driven, extremely volatile), copper (a growth barometer, tied to China), agricultural commodities (weather and reports from the US Department of Agriculture). Most retail traders should learn gold and oil before the rest.
Stock indices
An index is a weighted basket of shares. Trading it means trading the market, not a company.
Indices are traded through futures (the professional route), ETFs (the investing route) and CFDs (the retail route, often labelled US500, US100, UK100, DE40). Index CFDs price off the futures and carry financing costs. Trading hours on CFDs are usually near 24 hours, but liquidity concentrates in the underlying cash session.
What moves indices: rate expectations, earnings season, growth data, and the dollar. Watch the VIX, the implied volatility index for the S&P 500, as a gauge of stress.